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ALASTEDGE HAIRPIN · METHODOLOGY

Proof over promises.

A proprietary statistical model, tested on tens of thousands of out-of-sample calls across 11 markets. Every call is locked at the close and scored. Nothing is hidden or rewritten.

READ THE CHART

Six parts. Thirty seconds.

78%near 85%mid 45%far 9%70%123456
ONE CALL, START TO FINISH

From bar close to scored result.

01
Bar closes
The model reads the newest swing.
02
Odds: 78%
The high is ringed with its turn odds.
03
Locked
Above 70%, the call is fixed.
04
Scored: held
Price reached the near line before the turn point broke. The call is marked held.
SCORING

Every call ends one of two ways.

Held
Price turned at the call. It counts as right.
Failed
Price went past the call. It counts as wrong.
L live call· still open
OUT-OF-SAMPLE RESULTS

Higher odds, more turns held.

Share of calls that held, by turn odds. S&P 500, 15-minute bars.

Turn probabilityTest set ATest set B
70-75%69.0%66.2%
75-80%72.5%73.1%
80-85%76.4%78.6%
85%+81.1%80.8%
All forecasts72.4% n 2,57071.7% n 2,372

Hypothetical, out-of-sample test results. A held rate is not a measure of profit. Past results do not guarantee future results.

MODEL HEALTH

Watched live. Shown on every chart.

Healthy
Live results in line with testing.
Watching
One check is off. Being watched closely.
Retraining
Results dipped below the tested rate. A retrained model goes live only after it passes the same tests.
Educational information only. Not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.

Risk warning. Trading leveraged instruments carries a high level of risk and is not suitable for everyone. Leverage magnifies losses as well as gains and you can lose more than your deposit. Most retail accounts lose money. AlastEdge publishes research and educational trade ideas only, is not a licensed adviser or broker, and nothing published here is personal financial advice. Simulated and out-of-sample results are hypothetical, were not achieved with real money, and are never a reliable indicator of future results. Read the full risk disclosure.

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